The re-appointment of ‘pre-October 26 Government’ and passing of the Vote of Account in Parliament, and with the political uncertainty that prevailed over the last 8 weeks easing off, has provided financial capability for the Government and its institutions to function beyond 2018 according to a report by First Capital Research.
“Over the last 3 months (25-Sep to 24-Dec) we’ve maintained exposure at 50% considering earnings hit via depreciation and political unrest affecting sentiment of the market. However, during the period market gained by about 100-120 index points.”
“As we step into 2019, we are witnessing the global fund flow reversing towards Asia and commodity prices crashing with the dip in oil prices benefiting the BoP position of Sri Lanka and positively affecting Cost of Living.”
We believe the events that have unfolded may benefit Sri Lanka and the equity market over the next few months positively impacting earnings and possibly leading to net foreign inflows.
Thereby, we upgrade our equity exposure to 60% and upgrade ASPI volatility expectations to 6,000-6,500 (from our previous 5,800 –6,200),” the report adds.